Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.840369 0.944775 1.058521 1.191871 1.344207 1.513134 1.715103
2025-02-02 0.688552 0.832069 1.001464 1.217144 1.485856 1.811417 2.238467
2025-02-09 0.599894 0.759824 0.958765 1.226363 1.579849 2.034882 2.671559
2025-02-16 0.534911 0.703739 0.922893 1.231271 1.658876 2.238016 3.093982
2025-02-23 0.491019 0.667545 0.905332 1.253399 1.757181 2.471133 3.579805
2025-03-02 0.438878 0.613358 0.855845 1.222914 1.774093 2.586430 3.903483
2025-03-09 0.411360 0.590195 0.846256 1.246590 1.869494 2.823298 4.436769
2025-03-16 0.378122 0.555110 0.815246 1.233713 1.905755 2.970611 4.842305
2025-03-23 0.355463 0.533412 0.801596 1.245018 1.979296 3.182235 5.377797
2025-03-30 0.328834 0.503151 0.771789 1.227012 2.001922 3.310370 5.782031
2025-04-06 0.307422 0.479179 0.749561 1.218664 2.038709 3.464513 6.249741
2025-04-13 0.279182 0.442038 0.703082 1.165173 1.991568 3.465114 6.428548
2025-04-20 0.267018 0.430614 0.698459 1.183954 2.075950 3.714969 7.128147
2025-04-27 0.256484 0.421103 0.696269 1.206787 2.170099 3.993800 7.926470
2025-05-04 0.244625 0.408335 0.687287 1.216165 2.239313 4.231434 8.671645
2025-05-11 0.233082 0.395203 0.676521 1.221000 2.299745 4.457569 9.423460
2025-05-18 0.225064 0.387660 0.675021 1.242925 2.395680 4.766020 10.403476
2025-05-25 0.210256 0.366855 0.647819 1.212723 2.382643 4.844143 10.862030
2025-06-01 0.203925 0.361080 0.647934 1.236179 2.482930 5.176682 11.977115
2025-06-08 0.193373 0.346736 0.630834 1.223422 2.504750 5.337869 12.693711
2025-06-15 0.186561 0.338967 0.625706 1.234622 2.579416 5.626740 13.779779
2025-06-22 0.176816 0.324956 0.607448 1.216784 2.587634 5.761667 14.481798
2025-06-29 0.168836 0.313873 0.594215 1.208513 2.616654 5.949230 15.356334